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June 26, 2004

For Vegas experts, no merger worries

They expect consumers won't notice any changes from casino megamerger

BY STEVE FRIESS
GLOBE CORRESPONDENT
LAS VEGAS -- After last week's news of a planned megamerger between casino giants MGM Mirage and Mandalay Resort Group, tourist Frederic Finney of Boston stared down the Las Vegas Strip and griped that he's starting to feel like a thimble.

"Yeah, you know, a thimble -- one of the little silver playing pieces in the Monopoly game," said the 62-year-old retiree, who makes monthly visits to Las Vegas to gamble and see his grandchildren. "Soon you'll have no choice of whose big red plastic hotel you stay at because they'll all be owned by the shoe."

Indeed, the classic board game was originally set in Atlantic City, but it's that other great American gambling mecca that's about to become incredibly difficult to glide by without at least stopping in at the properties of one particularly adept player.

The impact of the deal on Las Vegas is likely to stretch into all realms, handing the merged corporation dominance over not only the gambling market but also the convention business. MGM Mirage would control 10 resorts accounting for half, or 36,702, of the current 72,000 rooms there -- including a Monopoly-like seven resorts in a row on the west side of the Las Vegas Strip. MGM Mirage owns such famous resorts as Bellagio, New York-New York, and Treasure Island, while Mandalay Resorts includes Mandalay Bay, Luxor, and Excalibur. MGM Mirage would operate 22,000 slot machines and 1,050 gaming tables there.

"It just seems like too much," Finney said. "You have to wonder what will happen if the entire Strip is run by a few people. I don't see how it can be good."

Yet prominent Vegas observers say they doubt most tourists will care or have any idea who owns the casinos. Both companies have strong reputations for customer service and have already shown with their current holdings that they understand that tourists want each resort to have its own feel and sensibility, said Anthony Curtis, publisher of the Las Vegas Advisor newsletter.

"I don't think the customer will notice anything at all," Curtis said. "It's not like MGM Mirage was something subpar to Mandalay Bay. . . . "

Vegas4Visitors.com owner Rick Garman dismissed concerns that the new behemoth would limit entertainment options so as to avoid competing with itself.

"I can't imagine MGM not booking a big-name act just because there's a big name already playing at Mandalay," Garman said. One arena where the merger's impact is likely to be felt nationally is in the convention business. The year-old Mandalay Bay Convention Center is the fifth-largest exhibit hall in the country at 1.5 million square feet and has used its easy access to 20,000 hotel rooms as its most appealing draw to meeting planners. Now, with another 15,000 rooms to offer at a variety of prices, the new conglomerate should be able to steal away even more major trade shows from other cities. Las Vegas, for years the top convention city in North America, may enjoy another boost.

"If Boston and Mandalay Bay are going after the same convention, there's no comparison in terms of the hotel capacity whatsoever," said Michael Hughes, research director for Tradeshow Week magazine.

"It means Boston and other cities will have to make more detailed and more aggressive marketing plans to compete."

The merger, which the boards of both public companies approved June 16 but which still requires shareholder and regulatory approvals that will take at least six months, would allow MGM Mirage to supplant Harrah's Entertainment Inc., as the world's largest gaming company. MGM Mirage has agreed to pay $71 per Mandalay share -- a $4.8 billion cash buyout -- as well as assume $2.5 billion in debt. MGM Mirage also would pay $600 million for bonds that can be converted into Mandalay stock.

In all, the combined company would operate 28 casinos in five states and Australia that recorded a combined annual revenue of $6.8 billion last year. "With all of the additional resources we'll gain from this transaction, we'll be better able to compete across all segments of the gaming and leisure market," MGM Mirage chairman Terry Lanni said in a conference call with analysts.

For Vegas nostalgia buffs, the merger represents yet another giant advance in Wall Street's control of what some refer romantically to as the "old Vegas," the days of independent, privately held -- and frequently Mafia-run -- gambling joints where casino hosts knew everybody by name. Many analysts expect a flurry of other mergers as rival companies try to stay competitive with the MGM Mirage juggernaut, although Harrah's, Caesars Entertainment Inc., and the Venetian resort owner Las Vegas Sands Inc., declined to comment on the merger.

"Gambling is national now, and the owners of gambling are stockholders and people who live in other places than LV," Bill Thompson, a professor in the Gaming Studies Research Center at the University of Nevada at Las Vegas. "There is very little concern for the quote-unquote good of Las Vegas community."

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