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May 15, 2004

Vegas hotel's $90m show takes a plunge

[See piece on Wynn Las Vegas opening by clicking here]
[see my Chicago Tribune review of the hotel by clicking here]

BY STEVE FRIESS
GLOBE CORRESPONDENT

LAS VEGAS: It may be the most expensive hotel-casino in history, but the $2.7 billion Wynn Las Vegas is finding out that when it comes to its marquee show, money can't buy love.

Flamboyant productions have long been seen by investors and observers as contributing to the success of Las Vegas properties. Hotel visionary Steve Wynn, chief executive of Wynn Resorts Ltd., has maintained when he opened such famous Vegas resorts as Bellagio and The Mirage that the show is a linchpin.

But Wynn's aquatic ''Le Reve," which is conservatively estimated to have cost $90 million -- including a 2,087-seat showroom with a 1-million-gallon swimming pool -- has been a giant belly flop.

Since its April 28 opening, the show has been so poorly received by critics as well as the public that a plan to feature two performances a night has been postponed.

While Wynn officials say they are not worried, questions have been raised, from the Vegas Strip to Wall Street, about whether the nascent Wynn brand would be damaged if ''Le Reve" were to fail.

While major Vegas shows usually do not collapse on bad reviews the way Broadway shows do, the situation is so dire that some Wall Street analysts say the show's woes could further sink Wynn Resorts stock, which has tumbled recently, mainly on concern that the Chinese gambling market Wynn is entering next year isn't as strong as expected.

''It would be an utter disaster if this show can't be fixed," said an analyst at a major Wall Street investment house, who asked to remain anonymous because of company policy.

''Le Reve" is responsible for far more than bringing in an estimated $250,000 in ticket revenues per show.

Big Las Vegas spectacles are ''really a mousetrap to attract people to the property and keep them there and get national and international attention to the property," said Felix Rappaport, chief operating officer of the Luxor Hotel- Casino. ''Plus, when you build these made-to-order theaters, there aren't many outs. You can't just close it and say, 'That was a bad idea.' "

''Le Reve," French for ''the dream," is a surreal show with 70 actors in skimpy bathing suits who dance, swim, and do acrobatics in and around the performance pool.

Produced by Franco Dragone, who created several of Cirque du Soleil's biggest hits before leaving the Montreal-based troupe in 2002 to create Celine Dion's Vegas show, ''Le Reve" borrows many conceits from his prior Vegas work in the dream-themed ''Mystere" at the Treasure Island Hotel-Casino and the aquatic ''O" at the Bellagio. Several reviewers compared ''Le Reve" unfavorably with those previous successes, with Los Angeles Times reviewer Lewis Segal asking, ''Steve Wynn doesn't have knockoffs in his art gallery, so why put them in his showroom?"

It's also, at $121 a seat, the most expensive minimum in Vegas. In the weeks leading up to the debut, Wynn compared his luxurious 217-acre, 49-story casino-hotel to the pyramids of Egypt and called it ''more complex than any other structure in the history of the world."

''You would've expected with all that hype that the show would be stronger out of the box and it wasn't; it's very unraveled," said Anthony Curtis, publisher of the Las Vegas Advisor travel newsletter. ''People are walking out of the thing, shaking their heads."

Wynn officials are taking the long view. ''There is the reception of the theater audience and then there's the perception in the marketplace," Dragone spokesman Peter Wagg said. ''What I know is that people love the show."

Wynn spokeswoman Denise Randazzo said Dragone is making changes in response to audience reaction, although she also insisted that there was no problem and that the resort will offer two shows nightly again once a major ''awareness" campaign kicks off. She asserted that Dragone's earlier shows, ''Mystere" and ''O," also took time to settle in.

Even as Randazzo and Wagg tried to project optimism, one Wall Street analyst whose firm underwrote the resort acknowledged the concern.

''It's disappointing," said J.P. Morgan analyst Harry Curtis, who added that the property has otherwise exceeded expectations for revenue. ''It doesn't live up to the quality of the rest of the hotel. The 'Le Reve' show may require more than just tinkering to fix, but even if it were to have to go into a period of redesign, that wouldn't meaningfully impact the [overall] numbers."

Randazzo said she is not surprised by nitpicking, given the resort's grand scale. ''I think whenever you have an undertaking like this and spend $2.7 billion, you do leave yourself somewhat vulnerable for criticism," she said

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